Aberdeen vs ST Mirren prediction for the Scottish Premiership match on Saturday, 17 October 2026: our tip is Aberdeen to win (1), 1.83 odd. All other games of the day are in our free football predictions today.
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Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen
ST MirrenAberdeen arrive in mixed but unbeaten form over their last five matches, while ST Mirren are battling a difficult run that has yielded just one win in the same period. Despite Aberdeen's defensive stability, ST Mirren hold a notable edge in their recent head-to-head record, having won three of their last five meetings — a pattern that adds intrigue to this Pittodrie encounter.
Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Prediction & Tip
Aberdeen vs ST Mirren prediction: Aberdeen to win (1), 1.83 odd
Match outlook: Aberdeen to win · Confidence: High
Goals: no clear lean either way (both teams together average 2.7 goals per match in recent games).
Aberdeen took 9 of a possible 15 points in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 3 conceded); ST Mirren took 4 of 15 (5 scored, 9 conceded). In their last 5 meetings Aberdeen won 1, ST Mirren won 3 and 1 ended level.
Form-based outlook from each side’s last matches and their head-to-head record. It is a statistical lean, not a guarantee and not betting advice.
Today’s free tips for every league are on our daily predictions page, updated each morning.
See Today’s PredictionsScottish Premiership Round 9
This fixture takes place in the Scottish Premiership's regular season, with both sides competing for points at a stage where form and momentum become increasingly important. The league continues to test consistency across the campaign, and neither team has current standing data available, so recent form becomes the primary lens through which to assess their competitive position at this stage of the season.
Aberdeen's stability contrasts with Mirren's slide
Aberdeen have accumulated 9 points from their last five matches, remaining unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws. They have scored 10 goals while conceding only 3, demonstrating defensive solidity and a reasonable attacking threat. However, the three draws suggest they have found it challenging to convert opportunities into victories. ST Mirren, by contrast, are in a difficult spell: just 4 points from 5 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) with a concerning defensive record of 9 goals conceded against 5 scored. This sharp contrast in trajectory sets up a fixture between a team managing steady progress and one fighting to arrest a negative run.
ST Mirren's recent dominance at this fixture
ST Mirren hold a notable edge in recent meetings, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters against Aberdeen. Most significantly, they won 2-0 away at Pittodrie on 12 May 2026 — a result that suggests they have found a way to trouble Aberdeen on their home ground. Aberdeen did secure a 1-0 away victory at ST Mirren on 18 October 2025, and the teams drew 3-3 at Pittodrie on 3 December 2025 in a high-scoring affair. ST Mirren also won 2-0 at home on 4 April 2026 and 1-0 at home on 3 May 2025. While the sample spans multiple seasons and competitions, the pattern shows ST Mirren have been the more successful side in this fixture recently, despite their current poor league form.
Form advantage tempered by head-to-head history
On recent league form alone, Aberdeen appear the stronger proposition: they are unbeaten, defensively compact, and outscoring their opponents significantly. ST Mirren's current weakness — three losses in five matches and a -4 goal difference — would normally suggest a comfortable home win for Aberdeen. However, ST Mirren's recent head-to-head record introduces a notable complication. They have won 3 of the last 5 meetings and demonstrated an ability to break down Aberdeen's defence at Pittodrie, as shown by their 2-0 victory there in May. This suggests that form alone may not tell the full story: ST Mirren, despite their recent struggles, have shown they possess the tactical tools or personnel to trouble Aberdeen specifically. The outcome may hinge on whether Aberdeen can translate their defensive stability and goal threat into a win against an opponent that, while currently struggling, has proven capable of upsetting them. ST Mirren's poor recent form may also create an opportunity for them to respond — teams in difficult periods can sometimes produce unexpected performances, particularly against sides they have recent success against.
Key Factors
Aberdeen unbeaten in last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) with strong defensive record of 10 goals for and 3 against
ST Mirren in weak form with just 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses over last five, conceding 9 goals in that span
ST Mirren hold advantage in recent head-to-head, winning 3 of last 5 meetings including a 2-0 away victory at Pittodrie in May 2026
Aberdeen's form reliant on draws (3 of last 5 results), suggesting potential difficulties in breaking down opponents
Significant goal-scoring disparity: Aberdeen 10 goals for vs ST Mirren's 5 in recent form sample